Quite a Day

Quite a day, wasn't it?

Wednesday, March 13, 2013 certainly was a newsworthy day for Canadians. Astronaut Chris Hadfield became the first Canadian to command the International Space Station. The 53 year old has quite a media presence, with over half a million Twitter followers. Since arriving at the I.S.S. last December 21, he has been sending out photographs, writing songs, and conducting interviews, all raising awareness among Canadians of the immensity and beauty of space.

And there was the memorial service in Peterborough for the late Stompin' Tom Connors, Canadian singer/songwriter, which was attended by thousands. It was broadcast live on CPAC and Tom's hat, order of Canada medal, guitar, and piece of plywood were all there. Adrienne Clarkson read a letter sent by Romeo Dallaire, commander of the U.N. forces during the Rwandan genocide, who told the story of playing Stompin' Tom's We Are the Blue Berets when his forces were under fire and how it raised their spirits. "We shall stand between the mighty and the frail."

And of course, habemus papam.

Jorge Cardinal Bergoglio, archbishop of Buenos Aires, Argentina was elected pope on the fifth ballot. He took the name Francis I, after the late 12^th/early 13^th century Italian saint from Assisi, Italy, who renounced his privileged existence for a life of service and poverty. This was taken as a good sign, by not only the large crowd in St. Peter's Square, but also by the international commentariat. His humbly asking for the crowd's prayers and blessing was also positively received. So far, so good.

But Pope Francis has a lot on his plate. He's a Jesuit, another first, and is concerned with taking the gospel to the poor and broken. He must try to bridge the gap between liberal and conservative Catholics globally, but keep in mind that the Church is growing more quickly in Africa, Asia, and to a lesser extent, South America. He also has Church administration to clean up.

That brings up the cliques within the Curia. Pope Benedict commissioned a panel of cardinals to investigate the theft of documents from his desk a year ago. Of course, his butler did it, but rumour has it that their investigation uncovered a homosexual ring within the Curia, among other things. That report was kept from the conclave until the new pope was elected. And of course there are still the issues of pedophile priests and other sexual abusers, divorce, contraception, abortion, gay marriage, priestly celibacy, and female priests. Not to say that Francis has to deal with all of these issues, but some of them do require attention sooner rather than later.

I predict that Pope Benedict will have one lasting effect on the Church: his decision to resign at age 85. The cardinals who chose 76 year old Cardinal Bergoglio must relinquish that right at age 80. Pope Francis has eight, maybe nine years to fulfill his mission.

Are the Conservatives in Trouble?

A recently completed EKOS poll released this week shows the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) down to its traditional base halfway through its first majority term in office.

In power now for six and half years (the first four and a half years were in minority governments), a series of bad decisions on everything from F-35 fighter jets, aboriginal issues, the environment, the Senate, and a sputtering economy have Prime Minister Stephen Harper's Conservative government reaching into the bottom of their bag of tricks to pull out – wait for it – legislation on crime by new Canadians. Yep, the Tories want to repeal the citizenship of those whose maintain dual citizenship who are convicted of crimes.

Anyway, the EKOS poll has some interesting findings. It surveyed nearly 5,000 Canadians, so it was a large sampling, and found that CPC support was down below 30% to 29.3% (and only 33.7% for "likely" voters). Furthermore, Harper's job approval rating nearly mirrored that of his government, at 28%, while 47% of the populace disapproved. More than half of Canadians – 51.2% -- thought that his government was taking the country in the wrong direction.

Other parties fared better. The New Democratic Party (NDP) was down 4.3% from the 2011 election, 30.6% to 26.3%, but in "likely" voters, only .5%, to 30.1%. Thomas Mulcair had a job approval rating of 28% as well, but a "Didn't Know/No Response" rating of 48%, showing he's still got a long way to go to get his message out there.

The Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) was up a whopping 5.7% from the 2011 election, from 18.9% to 24.6%, but strangely less than half that, 2.3%, to 21.2% amongst "likely" voters, suggesting many voters may be "parking" their votes with the Liberals. The putative future leader of the Liberals, Justin Trudeau, had the highest approval rating, at 33%.

There's a great deal more data in the report, which runs to 20 pages, and is available here. Information such as that more than 10% more men than women support the Conservatives. Or that nearly 1/3 of NDP voters use only a cell phone, not a land line. Or that the Liberal Party is still in first place in Atlantic Canada. Or that the Green Party has surged from 3.9% in the 2011 election to 9.5% now, largely based on a 15% return in B.C.

The next federal election is still more than two years away, which means the Conservatives still have just over a year to make amends. Because, once Canadians have decided to change their governments, and this occurs by the beginning of their fourth year in office, they don't change their minds.

Kathleen Wynne

We folks here in Ontario have just gone through a leadership contest to choose a new boss for the ruling Liberal Party, which has been in power under Premier Dalton McGuinty since 2003.

McGuinty started well, with a big lead in the legislature (still less than half the votes though), but a series of missteps, blunders, and wasted money, led to him losing his majority by one seat in the 2011 election. He bought off a Conservative, hoping to win her seat, but lost the by-election to the NDP. Swimming in scandal and self-doubt, he suddenly resigned in mid-October and prorogued the Legislature, which resulted in the just-concluded leadership race.

Sandra Pupatello, a centre-right candidate like McGuinty, but with more personality, sat out the last election and so could claim to have clean hands when it came to most of the scandals. But she also lacked a seat in the Legislature and would have had to lean on someone in her party to resign so she could run. There was also the prorogation problem. Pupatello said most Ontarians didn't care, but waiting another three months for the Legislature to sit was seen as a problem. However, she had the most votes going in, and in fact led on the first two rounds of voting.

But then a surprising thing happened: weaker candidates, and the party brass, shifted to the close second-place candidate, Kathleen Wynne, on the third ballot, making her the eventual winner.

Kathleen Wynne is an interesting choice for the Liberals. A Toronto school board trustee prior to entering Ontario politics, Wynne did do so in a big way, defeating Conservative cabinet minister David Turnbull in 2003 and Conservative leader John Tory in 2007. She was minister of Education, Transportation, and most recently, minister of Municipal Affairs and Housing and Minister of Aboriginal Affairs. She is gay and from Toronto, two factors that most of the "experts" saw as points against her.

Since winning the Liberal leadership, she has been saying all the right things: reaching across the aisle to the leaders of the other two parties in the Legislature, Tim Hudak and Andrea Horwath; meeting with the teachers' leadership with whom the Liberals have had a stormy relationship the past year; speaking out on Toronto's crippling traffic problems; and pledging progress on social issues.

So far she has raised the Liberals slightly in the polls, but it's been only a week and she won't face any big issues until after she takes power officially on February 11. She laughed-off Conservative attack ads on the radio, and seems inclined to make peace with the NDP's Horwath. But the NDP has much to fear from a re-energized Liberal party, and might not be willing to play along. And there's still the ORNGE and the power station brouhahas to be gotten through. How she handles these will determine whether she wins the next election, or is an opposition leader.

Hey, It’s Been a While

It's been a while, hasn't it?

Almost six months since I wrote my last blog post. I'm still having trouble with this darn keyboard. About one typing error for every five words, in fact. And my left foot gives me problems. And when I get excited, I can't remember words. But other than that, I'm doing great.

I exercise about an hour and a half to two hours a day.

The atrial fibrillation diagnosis I had in July has held up and I tolerate the medication well. It turns out that atrial fib is related to sleep apnea so I've been getting sleep tested and fitted for one of those machines. It's very quiet though: the cat sleeps on my chest while it runs. So life goes on.

But I've also been busy in other areas of my life.

Late November saw us on a road trip to Savannah, GA. It's some place I've long wanted to see. We took three days to drive down and three days to drive back, since I'm not driving any more. That was hard at times.

We toured the old, historic city; drank in its bars, ate in its restaurants; and stopped in Myrtle Beach for some early Christmas shopping on the way home.

And then at New Years, we flew to Los Angeles for the wedding of my cousin's oldest son. The weather was in the 60's Fahrenheit and we also took my mom for the occasion. We saw my uncles and the ocean. The Atlantic and the Pacific together in little over a month. It was good.

So this post is keeping a promise I made last Friday evening, that I would get back to writing my blog. I checked the stats on it earlier today and was surprised that, on average, eight people a day are still visiting it. Can't let my loyal readers down, can I?

Making Progress

Well, it's been almost exactly two months since I had my stroke, and I'm feeling a lot better.

About half the days I don't nap anymore, but I still sleep at least eight or nine hours each night. I'm going to the Whitby Hospital for therapy once a week and making progress there, too. Mostly we work on problem-solving such as math or "executive-decision making". That's all about planning and organizing activities.

Two weeks ago, I had a very busy week: I saw six doctors in four days. I was pretty tired for several days afterwards. But what I found out was that (probably) the reason for my stroke was "atrial fibrillation". That means that, instead of pumping blood, the top two chambers in my heart were mixing it around, but only occasionally. This can lead to the formation of strokes. We discovered this in my cardiologist's office. He put me on a blood thinner right away. A neurologist that I saw in Toronto the following week confirmed this.

I still have to go for an MRI, and that's on August 10. Then it's back to my original neurologist in Oshawa the first week of September for a reading of it. But if everything is clear, I should be well on the mend by then.

One sad thing that I learned in all of my visits to the doctors was that I can no longer drive. This, believe it or not, is a result of the stroke that I had four and a half years ago. That one affected my vision and my eye doctor told me about it only then. He thought someone else would have mentioned it before now! So, he says, from now on, I'm a passenger.

But, I'm alive and well, and that's the main thing right now.

Follow me on Twitter: @AeneasLane